YH雲禾財經教學

2019/1/1  新聞精選  by  FENG-YI  Consultant 

1.【分析 | 隨著機構投資者的加入 比特幣將重新崛起 涅槃重生】

儘管比特幣價格在2018年的漫長寒冬中遭受重創，但許多投資專家預計，隨著機構投資者開始進入這個市場，這種波動將在2019年消退。一些分析師認爲，在機構投資者創造的勢頭的推動下，比特幣將重新崛起，如同鳳凰涅槃重生一樣。阿波羅資本基金(Apollo Capital Fund)駐澳大利亞首席投資官Henrik Andersson表示:“在未來一年，我們將看到機構逐漸採用……我們有首批美國大學捐贈基金。”

1. [Analysis | With the participation of institutional investors, Bitcoin will re-emerge, Nirvana rebirth]

Although bitcoin prices have been hit hard in the long winter of 2018, many investment experts expect that this fluctuation will fade in 2019 as institutional investors begin to enter the market. Some analysts believe that bitcoin will re-emerge under the momentum created by institutional investors, just as the phoenix is born again. Henrik Andersson, chief investment officer of Apollo Capital Fund in Australia, said: "In the coming year, we will see the organization gradually adopting... We have the first batch of American university endowment funds."

2.【行情 | 比特幣全網算力爲41.90 EH/s】

據行情顯示，比特幣全網算力爲41.90 EH/s，每T收益1T * 24H =0.00004924 BTC，預測下次難度：5.46T，近兩周區塊體積中位數爲1.13M，未確認交易數量爲3,139，預測産量減半時間爲2020年07月04日。礦池算力排行榜：BTC.com 排名第一，AntPool排名第二，SlusgPool暫列第三。

2. [Market | Bitcoin network computing power is 41.90 EH / s]

According to the market, Bitcoin's total network computing power is 41.90 EH/s, and each T income is 1T * 24H = 0.0004924 BTC. The next difficulty is predicted: 5.46T. The median block volume in the past two weeks is 1.13M. The number of unconfirmed transactions For 3,139, the forecasted production halving time is July 4, 2020. The ranking of the calculation of the mining pool: BTC.com ranked first, AntPool ranked second, SlusgPool temporarily ranked third.

3.【動態 | 日本外匯交易表現不佳，資金流向虛擬貨幣市場】

據日經消息，日本外匯保證金(FX)交易情況持續表現不佳。據金融期貨交易協會(Financial Futures Trading Association, Tokyo, Chiyoda)稱，1月至11月底外匯交易量爲3711萬億日圓，較去年同期增長970%。由於日元匯率一直保持小幅波動，很有可能連續第三年與前一年持平。交易流向價格波動較大的虛擬貨幣，即使比特幣市場大幅下跌，外匯交易也沒有恢複。

3. [Dynamic | Japan's foreign exchange trading performance is poor, funds flow to the virtual currency market]

According to the Nikkei, Japan’s foreign exchange margin (FX) trading continued to perform poorly. According to the Financial Futures Trading Association (Tokyo, Chiyoda), the volume of foreign exchange transactions from January to the end of November was 3,711 trillion yen, an increase of 970% over the same period last year. Since the yen exchange rate has remained slightly fluctuating, it is likely to remain the same for the third consecutive year. The transaction flows to the virtual currency with large price fluctuations, and even if the bitcoin market falls sharply, the foreign exchange transaction has not recovered.

4.【動態 | 2019年區塊鏈行業將迎來風投回歸 行業價值評估模型亦將完善】

Coindesk刊文表示，通過早期的衆籌令牌創建活動，區塊鏈初創公司走了一條與獨角獸不同的市場之路。Web 2.0初創公司分階段融資，但Web 3.0初創公司早期便大量融資；Web 2.0創業公司在大概D輪融資中會給出一個荒謬的估值，而Web 3.0創業公司在第一天這麽做了。

2019年，我們將看到一個轉變：開源項目仍將從最初階段開始衆籌，但具備盈利功能的Web 3.0公司將等待證明其産品與市場的早期契合之後方才開始融資，這是典型的A輪融資。簡而言之，2019年將是風投回歸的一年。

另外，到2019年，我們將意識到，此前作爲一個行業使用的估值指標已經失效，將流通的代幣數量與價格相乘的度量方法是荒謬的。隨著分布式帳本技術(DLT)和加密資産的指數級採用，我們將看到該行業在如何評估這些創造價值的新模型方面趨於成熟。

4. [Dynamic | The blockchain industry will usher in the return of venture capital in 2019. The industry value assessment model will also be improved]

The Coindesk article stated that blockchain startups took a different market path than unicorns through early crowdfunding token creation activities. Web 2.0 startups are financing in stages, but Web 3.0 startups are heavily financed early; Web 2.0 startups give a ridiculous valuation in the D round of financing, and the Web 3.0 startup did it on the first day.

In 2019, we will see a shift: open source projects will continue to be crowdfunded from the initial stage, but the profitable Web 3.0 company will wait to prove that its products are in line with the early market before it starts financing. This is a typical round A. Financing. In short, 2019 will be the year of returning to VC.

In addition, by 2019, we will realize that the valuation indicators used previously as an industry have lapsed, and the measure of multiplying the circulation of tokens by price is absurd. With the exponential adoption of distributed ledger technology (DLT) and cryptographic assets, we will see the industry mature in how to evaluate these new models of value creation.

5.【聲音 | 區塊鏈分析公司首席經濟學家：2019年監管將更加明確 各國可能會積極接受虛擬貨幣】

據Cointelegraph消息，專注於區塊鏈合規與調查的分析公司Chain首席經濟學家Philippe Gradwell在接受採訪時表示，2019年部分國家對虛擬貨幣的監管將更加明確。這些國家的監管機構對虛擬貨幣進行了深入研究，開始對其産生興趣。

作爲管理日益複雜的虛擬貨幣金融系統的一種方式，監管部門將積極嘗試接受它，因爲虛擬貨幣具有高度的透明性，可以實時監控宏觀經濟的穩定性。這與法定貨幣體系形成了鮮明對比。但監管機構目前壓力很大，因爲過去發生的洗錢事件和人們對經濟危機的反應。同時，他還提到，未來各國監管機構可能會積極接受虛擬貨幣。監管機構將接受虛擬貨幣的透明度和好處，實時跟蹤虛擬貨幣交易。

5. [Sound | Chief Economist of Blockchain Analysis: Regulatory will be more clear in 2019. Countries may actively accept virtual currency]

According to Cointelegraph, Philippe Gradwell, chief economist at Chain, an analysis firm specializing in blockchain compliance and investigation, said in an interview that the regulation of virtual currency in some countries will be more clear in 2019. Regulators in these countries have conducted in-depth research on virtual currency and began to take an interest in it.

As a way to manage an increasingly complex virtual currency financial system, regulators will actively try to accept it because virtual currency is highly transparent and can monitor macroeconomic stability in real time. This is in stark contrast to the legal currency system. But regulators are currently under great pressure because of the money laundering incidents that have occurred in the past and the reaction of people to the economic crisis. At the same time, he also mentioned that in the future, national regulators may actively accept virtual currency. Regulators will accept the transparency and benefits of virtual currency and track virtual currency transactions in real time.

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